BNT選手の今オフの移籍予想スタッツを公開する【2020年オフシーズン】

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○移籍予想スタッツとは?

2020年のオフシーズンに、BNTが移籍情報の噂の発信や予想をする企画をやっているんだけど↓

初めてこのブログを読む人は、

「どれくらい信用できる情報なの?」

って気になると思うんよ。

そこで、2020年のオフにワイ氏が流した情報がどれだけ的中したかをスタッツとして残すよ。BNTの情報の信憑性を測る物差しとして使ってくれ。

スタッツは(的中数/発信数)×100 [%]で表されるよ。

発信数は、【噂】【予想】【邪推】【有力情報】を全てカウントするよ。

○BNTが発信した情報の正誤

【北海道】FG1/3

・スポーツ報知が「北海道は森川、ニカの獲得に動いている」と報道→×:獲得できず。

(予想)北海道は高橋耕陽の獲得に動いていると予想→×:獲得できず。

・北海道が葛原獲得の噂(5ちゃんねる)→

【秋田】FG2/3

・白濱が島根に移籍の噂→

(予想)中山は東地区に行くと予想→×:残留した。

・キーナンが群馬へ移籍するとの噂(@Sportando)→

【宇都宮】FG2/3

・ビンス・カーターと契約間近?→×:引退した。

・ジョシュ・スコットと契約の噂(@Sportando)→

・L.J・ピークと契約の噂(@Sportando)→

【千葉】FG4/6

・佐藤卓磨を獲得するとの噂→

(予想)パーカーが移籍するならA東京か島根しかないよ→×

(予想)晴山はリスト入りすると予想→

・千葉がサイズを獲得か→

・晴山がB1の青いチームへレンタル移籍→:滋賀へレンタル移籍

(予想)帰化選手を外国籍枠として契約できるようにルール変更しようとしてないよね・・・?→×:そんなことするわけないだろ!

【A東京】FG2/5

・カークは継続するとの噂→

・笹倉は富山にレンタル移籍するとの噂→×:仙台に移籍

・笹倉が仙台にレンタル移籍の噂→

・アキ獲得の噂→×:横浜に残留した。

(予想)誓哉はKBLに移籍してもおかしくない→×:A東京と契約継続

【SR渋谷】FG2/2

(予想)パーカーの獲得は難しい→

・サイズは名古屋に行くと予想したけど、手のひら返しで千葉の可能性が高い→(千葉の項目で1カウントしているので、ここではスタッツへのカウントは無し)

・杉浦は韓国でプレイしない。西地区のクラブに移籍する。→

【横浜】FG4/4

・森井を獲得するとの噂→

(予想)田渡の行き先を広島、三遠と予想→:広島に行った。

・赤穂が大学バスケ部を辞めてBリーグ入りするという噂→

(予想)赤穂の行き先予想を上位なら千葉、それ以外なら三河、滋賀、京都と予想→:千葉だった。

【新潟】FG3/5

(予想)今村の行き先を宇都宮、千葉、SR渋谷と予想→×:琉球だった。

(予想)田渡は新潟には行かないと予想→

・林を獲得の噂→

・岡田侑大にオファーを出しているとの噂→×:獲得できず

・有望な新人選手を獲得の噂→:納見を獲得

【富山】FG2/3

・笹倉をレンタルで獲得するとの噂→×(A東京の項目でスタッツにカウントしている)

・岡田侑大獲得の噂→

・浜口HC獲得の噂。マブンガも誘ってる?→?

・日本代表Bチームクラスのフォワード獲得の噂→:橋本晃佑を獲得

【信州】FG4/4

・小野を獲得の噂→

・山本エドワード獲得の噂。→

・某ZからSGを獲得の噂→:東京Zから増子を獲得

・某FEからJ・Hを獲得の噂→:FE名古屋からジョシュホーキンソンを獲得

【三河】FG3/3

・高橋耕陽を獲得するとの噂→

・桜木JRが引退するとの噂→

・柏木を獲得の噂→

・岡田のポジションに外国籍選手?→?

・NBAでもプレイ経験のあるシェイン・ウィッティントンと契約したと現地報道(Sportando)→?

【名古屋D】FG3/3

・斉藤を獲得か→

・狩野を獲得か→

・バーレルが帰化を検討の噂→?

(予想)ライオンズ獲得か?→

【滋賀】0/2

・會田を獲得するとの噂→×:京都が獲得した。

(予想)滋賀は斉藤とシェーファーの引止めに自信があると予想→×:退団した。

【京都】FG7/10

・浜口HC退団の噂→?

(予想)マブンガには千葉行きの噂があるが、ワイ氏は残留と予想。→×:退団した。

(予想)中村太地は移籍濃厚?→

(予想)中村太地は韓国行きの可能性がある。→

(予想)京都出身の岡田侑大が来るか?→×

(予想)中山は来なそう→

・岡田侑大にオファーを出している→×:来なかった。

・會田を獲得の噂→

・満田獲得の噂→

・KJ継続の噂→

・マブンガ退団の噂→

・ご近所のチームのACをHCとして迎えるという噂→?

【大阪】FG3/4

・駒水と契約間近か?→

・エリエット・ドンリーと契約か→

(予想)榎本を獲得すると予想→×:広島に行った。

・西宮のアリスター時生を獲得の噂→

【島根】FG3/3

・満田を獲得するというのはガセネタ→

・白濱獲得の噂→

・鈴木HC復帰の噂→?

・クウェリが群馬へ移籍の噂→

【広島】FG1/1

・田渡獲得の噂→

【琉球】FG1/2

(予想)岸本は残留すると予想→

・榎本を獲得するとの噂→×:広島に行った。

○結果(2020/7/4現在)

BNT選手が発信した情報(ソースは5ch、ツイッター、Sportando、BNT独自情報を全て含む)
(的中数/発信数)×100 [%]

FG(47/67) 70%

ちなみにワイ氏自身の予想の的中率は、

FG(10/20) 50%

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